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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-20 APRIL 2016

Sgx Nifty

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Bears likely to start the session on Dalal Street 

Indian shares are likely to open on a cautious note as the global cues look unsupportive with SGX Nifty trading 28 points lower. The key Indian equity benchmarks are set to witness a negative opening on Wednesday as traders weigh a mixed trend in fellow Asian peers even as the biggest surge in commodities since August buoyed Wall Street overnight. A decline in the CNX Nifty Index futures for April delivery which fell by 0.21 per cent or 16.5 points to 7,975 at 10:49 am Singapore time, signals a bearish opening for the Sensex today. Caution is expected to rule D-Street today as investors eye the fourth quarter earnings of Wipro with analysts expecting a 2.8 per cent sequential growth in dollar revenue for the company. TCS may be in focus today after posting a better than expected 3.8 per cent sequential growth in Q4 net income late Monday.

However, sentiment may remain supported by rising hopes of a further interest rate cut by the RBI over the coming months as softening inflation leaves more leeway for policy easing. The country’s wholesale inflation came in at -0.85 per cent in March 2016, the seventeenth straight month of contraction. While markets were closed on Tuesday, the 30-share Sensex on Monday rallied by 189.61 points or by 0.74 per cent at 25,816.36. On BSE, total number of shares traded was 19.78 Crore and total turnover stood at Rs. 2223.34 Crore.

Trend in FII flows:   The FIIs were net  sellers of  Rs -977.98 Cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net buyers of  Rs 313.22 Cr, as per the provisional figures

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-18 APRIL 2016

Sgx Nifty

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Cautious start likely ahead of TCS Q4 earnings
The key Indian equity benchmarks may open lower on Monday as traders weigh a bearish trend across Asian markets amidst a sharp plunge in oil prices following the failure of Doha talks where major oil producers were unable to reach an agreement on limiting output to ease a supply glut, souring sentiment in risky assets. Markets from China to Hong Kong and Japan bled heavily as traders shunned equities and fled to safe haven assets. A decline in the CNX Nifty Index futures for April delivery which fell by 0.44 per cent or 35 points to 7,896.5 at 10:42 am Singapore time, signals a negative opening for the Sensex today.

The focus will be on the country’s biggest software exporter TCS which will unveil its Q4 numbers today while the March wholesale inflation data is also due during the course of the trading session. Shares of Infosys may witness an upward movement after the IT major on Friday trumped Street estimates by posting a consolidated net profit of Rs3,597 crore, up by 3.8 per cent on a sequential basis. Moreover, some volatility may plague the local bourses ahead of tomorrow’s trading holiday. The 30-share Sensex which was closed on Thursday and Friday advanced by 481.16 points or by 1.91 per cent at 25,626.75 as the Met Department’s prediction of a good monsoon, and upbeat macroeconomic data brought cheer to traders. Snapping three months of contraction, India’s industrial output climbed 2 per cent, year on year in February 2016 while consumer inflation softened to 4.8 per cent in March 2016 from 5.3 per cent in February, raising hopes of more interest rate cuts.

Trend in FII flows:   The FIIs were net  sellers of  Rs -664.27 Cr in the cash segment on Friday while the DIIs were net buyers of  Rs 269.89 Cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE

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Equity mutual funds add 43 lakh folios in FY16


Equity mutual funds witnessed an addition of over 43 lakh investor accounts or folios in 2015-16, primarily on account of robust contribution from smaller towns.

In comparison, equity mutual funds (MFs) added 25 lakh folios in the preceding fiscal.

Folios are numbers designated for individual investor accounts, though one investor can have multiple accounts.

Growing participation from retail investors, especially from small towns, huge inflows in equity schemes and several measures taken by Sebi have led to sharp increase in folios, Sebi Chairman U K Sinha had said last month.

The regulator has given extra incentives for those expanding into smaller cities.

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Infosys Q4 net profit rises 16.4% y-o-y to Rs 3,597 crore


India's second-largest software firm, Infosys, reported a 16.14 % rise in fourth quarter profits to Rs 3,597 crore, while the company’s revenue grew 23.4% to Rs 16,550 crore.

Infosys, the first large Indian IT services firm to post results, had reported Rs 3,097 crore profit on revenue of Rs 13,411 crore in the January to March quarter last year. 

The Bengaluru-based IT bellwether forecast dollar revenue to grow between 11.5% and 13.5% in constant currency and 11.8% and 13.8% in March 2016 exchange rates for the year ahead.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK- 13 Apr 2016

Sgx Nifty

Sensex jumps 400 pts, Nifty eyes 7850; ICICI, M&M soar 4-5%

The Sensex climbing 400 points and the Nifty eyeing 7850 level. All sectoral indices continued to be positive, tracking good monsoon forecast, better-than-expected CPI & IIP data and positive global cues.

The 30-share BSE Sensex rallied 398.43 points or 1.58 percent to 25544.02. The 50-share NSE Nifty rose 121.45 points or 1.58 percent to 7830.40 that recovered 1000 points from February low of 6825. 

The broader markets also participated in rally with the BSE Midcap and Smallcap indices rising more than 1 percent. About four shares advanced for every share declining on Bombay Stock Exchange.

ICICI Bank and Mahindra & Mahindra were top contributors to Sensex's rally, up 4-5 percent followed by HDFC, ITC, HDFC Bank, Tata Motors, L&T, SBI, Wipro, Bharti and Maruti Suzuki with 1-3.6 percent.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-12 APRIL 2016

Sgx Nifty

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Flat opening seen for Indian markets.
Indian markets are likely to open little changed on Tuesday as traders stick to a cautious approach ahead of the March retail inflation and February IIP data due today. SGX Nifty is trading 5.00 points lower. Indian shares gained in line with global markets on Monday, though caution crept in, as market awaits March-quarter earnings for companies, beginning with Infosys. The S&P BSE Sensex rose 1.41% and CNX Nifty gained 1.54%.

Global Markets:

• Asian stocks rose on Tuesday, led by a rebound in Japanese stocks, while commodities such as crude oil stood tall thanks to a sagging dollar.
• US stocks slipped at the start of a first-quarter earnings season that is expected to paint a bleak picture of corporate profits.
• European shares rose on Monday, reversing earlier losses thanks in part to gains in Italian banks and mining stocks.

Major Headlines of the day:

Tata Steel sells UK long-product plant.
Tax liability cloud over Cairn-Vedanta merger.
AC major Blue Star to set up 2 units at Rs215 crore investment.

Trend in FII flows:   The FIIs were net  sellers of  Rs -107.23 Cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net buyers of  Rs 303.88 Cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE

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