INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-10 JUNE 2016

Flat opening seen for Indian markets

Indian Indices:

Flat opening on D-street mirroring weakness in the Asian shares as participants remain edgy on worries regarding a UK referendum that could push Britain out of the European Union. SGX Nifty is trading at 4.00 points lower.

The focus of investors now turns to Friday’s industrial output data for April 2016 which may offer further cues over the health of the country’s economy.

India's benchmark Sensex fell nearly 1% on Thursday, its biggest single-day fall in three weeks, as caution set in ahead of the US Federal Reserve meeting, while Infosys slumped on worries about its outlook. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty fell 0.95%-0.84% each today.

Global Market:

Asian shares pulled back on Friday as investors sought refuge in safe-haven assets amid festering concerns over the June 23 referendum that could see Britain exit the European Union.

U.S. stocks pared earlier losses but ended in negative territory, snapping a three-day win streak as oil futures pulled back from 10-month highs.

European shares fell for a second straight day on Thursday, weighed down by weakness among commodities-related stocks, while Essentra plunged after a profit warning.

Major Headlines of the day:

• RCom worst in telcos' call drop test at Hyderabad.

• Tata Communications installs 8k ATM units across the country.

• Visa Steel seeks shareholder nod for merger of joint venture firm.

 Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 234.2 Cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs -317.74 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-24 MAY 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Weak opening seen for Markets on global sell-off

The key domestic equity benchmarks are likely to open on a negative note on Tuesday tracking a bearish trend in markets across Asia and a weak finish at Wall Street 

overnight as traders across the globe brace for a potential US Fed interest rate hike next month, souring risk taking appetite. SGX Nifty is trading 6.00 points lower.

Volatility may remain high at the domestic bourses as traders roll over their positions ahead of the May futures & options (F&O) expiry on Thursday.

Indian shares edged up on Monday as ITC rallied after posting stronger-than-expected March-quarter operating earnings, but broader sentiment was muted ahead of a 

deluge of corporate results and the expiry of derivative contracts this week. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty fell 0.28%-0.24% each today.

Global Markets:

• Asian shares were nearly flat in early trading on Tuesday, while the dollar rebounded from steep losses against the yen in the previous session.
• US stocks finished lower Monday, giving up early gains as the prospect that interest rates might rise as soon as next month weighed on utilities shares.
• The Greek bourse outperformed weaker European stock markets on Monday after Athens agreed a series of reforms that should pave the way for an agreement on bailout loans and debt relief talks.

Major Headlines of the day:

• VRL Logistics to start regional airline
• Tata Power Q4 net doubles to Rs360 cr.
• Torrent Pharma Q4 PAT up 175% to Rs375 cr.

Trend in FII flows:   The FIIs were net  sellers of  Rs -65.60 Cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net buyers of  Rs 167.77 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-13 MAY 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Gap down opening likely for D-Street

The Indian equity benchmarks are poised to open on a bearish note on Friday with traders likely to react negatively to dismal factory data showing a loss of momentum for Asia’s third biggest economy. SGX Nifty is trading 49.00 points down.

Industrial output ( IIP) in India fell by 0.1% in March 2016 from the same month a year ago while consumer inflation jumped to 5.4% in April 2016 from 4.83 per cent in March 2016.

Investors will eye the March quarter earnings numbers from Bank of Baroda, Cadilla Healthcare, Central Bank of India, Dena Bank, UCO Bank and Union Bank to be released 

today. Continued jitters over the impact of the India-Mauritius treaty that imposes a capital gains tax on investments coming from Mauritius may also weigh on sentiment.

Indian shares closed higher on Thursday, led by lenders such as ICICI Bank, after the country's upper house of parliament passed a new bankruptcy code to address corporate debts and improve the ease of doing business. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty gained 0.75%-0.66% each today.

Global Markets:

Asian shares got off on the back foot on Friday, while the yen nursed losses as traders wagered the Bank of Japan will add to its massive stimulus before too long.

The Dow barely eked out a gain on Thursday as a slump in technology shares, highlighted by a steep slide in Apple, pressured the market, dragging the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite lower. 

European stocks fell on Thursday after a choppy session, weighed down by some disappointing earnings updates, while Bayer and BASF dropped on reports they could be interested in buying Monsanto.

Major Headlines of the day:

Bharti Airtel sets a benchmark of 1.5% for call drops for itself. 

Nestle struggles to get out of the woods. 

TVS Srichakra plans Rs160 crore capex. 

Vu Tech to enter more cities, eyes Rs500 cr sales in FY17

Trend in FII flows:   The FIIs were net  sellers of  Rs -24.14 Cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net buyers of  Rs 258.35 Cr, as per the provisional figures

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-12 MAY 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Markets may open in red following weak global cues.

The key Indian equity benchmarks are likely to witness a gap down opening as foreign investors remain jittery amidst the amended India-Mauritius tax treaty that imposes capital gains tax on investments coming from Mauritius.SGX Nifty is trading 6.50 points lower.

Shares of Glenmark and Nestle India will be in focus as they unveil their March quarter earnings today. 

All eyes will be on the March industrial output and April consumer inflation data to be released today.

Indian shares fell on Wednesday, snapping two straight sessions of gains, on concerns the government may amend tax treaties with countries including Singapore after it agreed to tax capital gains on foreign investments from Mauritius. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty fell 0.68%-0.49% each today.

Global Markets:

Asian shares fell on Thursday following a dismal day on Wall Street, while crude oil futures gave back some of their overnight gains after jumping on an unexpected fall in U.S. crude inventories. 

U.S. stocks closed lower Wednesday, under pressure from disappointing Disney and Macy's earnings, amid sharp gains in oil following a surprise inventory draw. 

European shares slipped on Wednesday as some weak earnings reports pushed the market lower after two days of gains.

Major Headlines of the day:

Sanofi recalls batches of Combiflam after regulator alert.

Adani Power raises Rs 330 crore through NCDs. 

Hero enters motorcycle racing in tie-up with German specialist.

Trend in FII flows:   The FIIs were net  sellers of  Rs -362.19 Cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net buyers of  Rs 729.59 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-11 MAY 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Bearish opening on Dalal Street

The key Indian equity benchmarks are poised to witness a negative opening on Wednesday as the government late Tuesday announced that starting next year, a capital gains tax on investments coming from Mauritius will be imposed as it seeks to curb black money. SGX Nifty is trading 124 points lower.

Focus will be on Kotak Mahindra Bank, Havells India, Apollo Tyres and Asian Paints as they unveil their March quarter earnings today. Caution ahead of key macro data to be released on Thursday including March industrial output and April consumer inflation 

Indian shares bounced back from earlier losses to close higher on Tuesday, posting their second consecutive session of gains, as a rebound in crude oil prices and global stocks continued to favour riskier assets. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 0.33%-0.28% higher each.

Global Markets:

Asian stocks pulled away from eight-week lows on Wednesday, a day after solid corporate earnings sparked a rally in global equities while the yen struggled amid intervention warnings from Tokyo in the wake of the currency's rapid rise. 

A surge in US stocks overnight after a rise in US job openings to the second highest level on record in March signaled a strengthening labour market recovery in the world’s biggest economy. 

European shares rose on Tuesday, lifted by news of progress on Greek debt talks, with Danish jeweller Pandora surging after strong results and Credit Suisse gaining after a smaller-than-expected loss.

Major Headlines of the day:

Tata Steel gets SEZ status for Gopalpur project. 

EID Parry Q4 net up 59% at Rs267 cr. 

JSW enters race for Tata Steel's UK business.

Trend in FII flows:   The FIIs were net  sellers of  Rs -328.59 Cr in the cash segment on Tuesday  while the DIIs were net buyers of  Rs 68.20 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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Sensex, Nifty still under selling pressure; HDFC twins, ITC gain

The Sensex is down 93.83 points or 0.4 percent at 25135.87. The Nifty is down 27.70 points or 0.4 percent at 7719.30. About 616 shares have advanced, 1062 shares declined, and 84 shares are unchanged.

HDFC twins, NTPC and Hero MotoCorp are top gainers while Adani Ports, Hindalco, Tata Motors, Tata Steel and ICICI Bank are losers in the Sensex.

Oil prices stabilised after falling for two straight days on concerns that slowing demand and rising Middle East production would extend a global supply overhang.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK- 13 Apr 2016

Sensex jumps 400 pts, Nifty eyes 7850; ICICI, M&M soar 4-5%

The Sensex climbing 400 points and the Nifty eyeing 7850 level. All sectoral indices continued to be positive, tracking good monsoon forecast, better-than-expected CPI & IIP data and positive global cues.

The 30-share BSE Sensex rallied 398.43 points or 1.58 percent to 25544.02. The 50-share NSE Nifty rose 121.45 points or 1.58 percent to 7830.40 that recovered 1000 points from February low of 6825. 

The broader markets also participated in rally with the BSE Midcap and Smallcap indices rising more than 1 percent. About four shares advanced for every share declining on Bombay Stock Exchange.

ICICI Bank and Mahindra & Mahindra were top contributors to Sensex's rally, up 4-5 percent followed by HDFC, ITC, HDFC Bank, Tata Motors, L&T, SBI, Wipro, Bharti and Maruti Suzuki with 1-3.6 percent.

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