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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-01 JUNE 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Strong start seen for Sensex, Nifty on upbeat Q4 GDP data

The Indian shares are likely to see a strong start as the global cues look supportive with SGX Nifty trading 19.50 points higher. Indian equity benchmarks are likely to witness a bullish opening on Wednesday as investors cheer the robust fourth quarter GDP data which showed that Asia’s third biggest economy accelerated last quarter driven by strengthening consumption, bolstering risk taking appetite.

The country’s economy grew by 7.9 per cent in the March 2016 quarter, compared to 7.2 per cent in Q3 FY 2015-16. Gains in the CNX Nifty Index Futures for June delivery which advanced by 0.20 per cent or 16.5 points at 8,205 at 10:37 AM Singapore time also signal that Dalal Street may open higher today.

The focus today will be on Indian manufacturing PMI which may offer further cues over the health of the world’s fastest growing economy. In April, the country’s manufacturing index fell to 50.5 in April from eight-month high of 52.4 in March, but remained above the neutral 50-mark.

Snapping a five-day winning streak, the 30-share Sensex on Tuesday declined 57.64 points or by 0.22 per cent to end at 26,667.96 as investors booked profits while uncertainty over US rate outlook also weighed on sentiment.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs -114.52 Cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs 60.28 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-31 MAY 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Bullish start seen on Dalal Street

The Indian shares are likely to see a strong start as the global cues look supportive with SGX Nifty trading 21.50 points higher

Indian Indices:

Indian equity benchmarks are likely to witness a gap up opening on Tuesday tracking a positive trend across markets in Asia as investors continued to assess the prospects of a US interest rate hike this summer.

Gains in the CNX Nifty Index Futures for June delivery which advanced by 0.21 per cent or 17.5 points at 8,212.5 at 10:35 AM Singapore time also signal that Dalal Street may open higher today.

Shares of Tata Motors may see some buying momentum as the company in aftermarket hours on Monday said that its consolidated net profit for the March 2016 ended quarter tripled to Rs5,177 crore led by strong sales from its Jaguar Land Rover business in the UK, Europe, North America and China.

Global Markets:

Asian stocks were trading higher today as traders remained focused on US interest rate outlook.

China’s Shanghai Composite jumped over 2 per cent led by gains in financial and commodity companies, Hang Seng rose while Japan’s Nikkei 225 advanced as a revival in industrial output eased concerns over the world’s third biggest economy.

Japanese industrial production climbed 0.3 per cent in April 2016 from the previous month, compared to an expected 1.5 per cent drop.

US markets were closed on Monday due to the Memorial Day holiday.

Major Headlines of the day:

Sun Pharma: Board To Mull Share Buyback On June 23
S&P, Fitch downgrade Rolta
TRAI issues pre consultation paper on net neutrality

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs -355.54 Cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs 211.09 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-30 MAY 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Another strong start set to cheer Dalal Street

The Indian shares are likely to see a strong start as the global cues look supportive with SGX Nifty trading 51.50 points higher.

Indian Indices:

Indian equity benchmarks are likely to witness a gap up opening on Monday tracking a mostly positive trend across markets in Asia amid growing optimism that the US economy is in strong shape to withstand the effect of higher interest rates, bolstering risk taking appetite.

While US economic growth in the first quarter was revised up to 0.8 per cent annualized pace from 0.5 per cent reported earlier, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that an improving American economy is likely to pave the way for a hike in borrowing costs in the coming months.

Global Markets:

Most Asian stocks advanced on speculation that the world’s biggest economy is strong enough to handle higher borrowing costs.

Shanghai Composite fell as metal and technology shares retreated while a slowdown in Chinese industrial profit growth to 4.2 per cent, year on year, in April 2016 from 11.1 per cent in March 2016, added to the worries over the world’s second biggest economy.

Hang Seng rose and Japan’s Nikkei 225 jumped as a weaker yen bolstered the appeal of exporter stocks.

Wall Street marked a bullish finish on Friday with benchmark S&P 500 scoring its biggest weekly gain since March as Yellen said that improvement in the US economy warranted a rate hike as early as this summer.

European shares were steady on Friday, propped up by the Swiss stock market and pharmaceuticals companies after drugmaker Roche climbed on positive results for one of its products.

Major Headlines of the day:

Sun Pharma gets US subpoena over generic drugs pricing
Tech Mahindra to buy out UK's Target TOPCO Ltd for GBP 112mn
Bajaj Auto eyes 25% market share in domestic motorcycle industry.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs -479.89 Cr in the cash segment on Friday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs 69.34 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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Winning spree intact; Sensex, Nifty surge 5% in three sessions

Markets gained for the fourth straight session with Nifty settling above the 8,150 levels comfortably supported by sustained buying across the board especially the index heavyweights like RIL, Infosys and HDFC. Above-normal monsoon forecast, better than expected Q4 numbers and strength in rupee bolstered the rally

The S&P BSE Sensex soared 287 points to end at 26,653 and Nifty50 surged 87 points to end at 8,157. Nifty50 closed at highest mark since Oct 29, 2015. In broader markets, BSE Midcap index outperformed the larger peers and ended up 1.3%, however BSE Smallcap index under-performed and gained 0.6%.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-27 MAY 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Strong rally for markets likely to continue; SBI eyed

The Markets are likely to witness a gap up opening on Friday as optimism over Asia’s third biggest economy amidst a strong monsoon forecast and improved corporate earnings bolster risk taking appetite. SGX Nifty is trading 21.50 points higher.

Shares of SBI, Canara Bank, Central Bank of India, DLF, Indian Overseas Bank, IOL, OIL, Tata Communications will be in focus as these companies unveil their March earnings data today. Investors are hoping that better monsoon rains may buoy rural demand.

Indian shares rose nearly 2% on Thursday to post their third session of gains, as L&T surged after upbeat March-quarter results, raising hopes about the domestic economy. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty rose 1.88%-1.70% each.

Global Markets:

Asian stocks pulled ahead on Friday after patches of U.S. data continued to paint the world's largest economy in a positive light, while the dollar was on the defensive against its major peers.
US stocks closed little changed Thursday after two days of strong gains as crude-oil futures failed to hang on to a move above $50 a barrel and investors brushed off better-than-expected economic reports.
European shares steadied on Thursday, with banks coming under pressure after a surprise rights issue by Spain's Banco Popular fuelled fears others in the region may follow to strengthen their balance sheets.

Major Headlines of the day:

Jet flies high with Rs426 cr profit.
RPG Life Sciences sells biotech business to Intas Pharmaceuticals.
GAIL reconfigures Rs12,000 cr Jagdishpur-Haldia gas pipeline.
Natco Pharma Q4 net profit up 10.65% at Rs60.24 crore.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs -581.29 Cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs 685.37 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-26 MAY 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Gap up opening on Dalal Street, F&O expiry eyed

The Indian equity benchmarks are likely to witness a positive opening on Thursday on the last day of the May derivative contracts. SGX Nifty is trading 22.50 points higher.

Shares of Jet Airways, ONGC, Tata Chemicals and Union Bank of India will be in focus as these companies unveil their March quarter earnings numbers today. Volatility may remain high at the domestic bourses as traders roll over their positions ahead of the expiry of the May futures & options (F&O) contract today.

Indian shares jumped more than 2 percent on Wednesday to post their best gain in nearly three months, as companies with big rural sales rose after a private weather forecaster predicted more monsoon rains than initially estimated. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty rose 2.28%-2.40% each.

Global Markets:

Asian shares look set to extend their recovery from 12-week lows on Thursday after renewed optimism on European banks' prospects and a rise in oil prices to near $50 a barrel helped lift global shares.
US stocks advanced for a second straight session on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 posting its highest close in nearly a month on the back of a rally in energy and materials shares.
European equities jumped to a four-week high on Wednesday with banks buoyed by progress on talks towards securing a debt relief deal for Greece, and energy shares rose on the back of a rally in oil.

Major Headlines of the day:

Bajaj Auto net up on bike sales growth
Ashok Leyland profit hits a speed bump
L&T profit rises 19%, beats Street estimates

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs -495.08 Cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs 337.25 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-25 MAY 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Strong opening on D-street amid global rally

The Indian markets are set to witness a gap up opening on Wednesday tracking a surge in Asian equities and a strong finish at Wall Street overnight. SGX Nifty is trading 70.00 points higher.

Shares of Bajaj Auto, Tata Steel and GAIL will be in focus as these companies unveil their March quarter earnings numbers today. Volatility may remain high at the domestic bourses as traders roll over their positions ahead of the May futures & options (F&O) contract expiry on Thursday

Indian shares edged higher, heading for their first gain in five sessions after well-received corporate results, including from Tata Power, offset lingering worries about rate hikes by the US Fed Reserve. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty rose 0.30%-0.23% each today.

Global Markets:

Asian shares gained on Wednesday, taking cues from sharp gains in European and U.S. financial shares while the dollar was underpinned as investors count on the U.S. Federal Reserve to hike U.S. interest rates in coming months.
U.S. stocks surged to close higher Tuesday as a rally in financial and technology shares underpinned a sharp, broadly based stock-market advance
European shares rose to their highest point in almost 4 weeks on Tuesday as firmer financial stocks lifted the region's equity markets.

Major Headlines of the day:

Sterlite Tech eyes broadband infra play.
Maruti earmarks 40% capex for product development.
Infosys to run German bank's IT operations.
Tata Power's generation capacity up by close to 5% in FY16.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs -815.53 Cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs 989.95 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-24 MAY 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Weak opening seen for Markets on global sell-off

The key domestic equity benchmarks are likely to open on a negative note on Tuesday tracking a bearish trend in markets across Asia and a weak finish at Wall Street

overnight as traders across the globe brace for a potential US Fed interest rate hike next month, souring risk taking appetite. SGX Nifty is trading 6.00 points lower.

Volatility may remain high at the domestic bourses as traders roll over their positions ahead of the May futures & options (F&O) expiry on Thursday.

Indian shares edged up on Monday as ITC rallied after posting stronger-than-expected March-quarter operating earnings, but broader sentiment was muted ahead of a

deluge of corporate results and the expiry of derivative contracts this week. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty fell 0.28%-0.24% each today.

Global Markets:

Asian shares were nearly flat in early trading on Tuesday, while the dollar rebounded from steep losses against the yen in the previous session.
US stocks finished lower Monday, giving up early gains as the prospect that interest rates might rise as soon as next month weighed on utilities shares.
The Greek bourse outperformed weaker European stock markets on Monday after Athens agreed a series of reforms that should pave the way for an agreement on bailout loans and debt relief talks.

Major Headlines of the day:

VRL Logistics to start regional airline
Tata Power Q4 net doubles to Rs360 cr.
Torrent Pharma Q4 PAT up 175% to Rs375 cr.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs -65.60 Cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs 167.77 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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