INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-08 APRIL 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS may see a lower opening; RBI Policy eyed 

Indian equity benchmarks are likely to witness a mild gap up opening today as the sharp losses in the previous session. SGX Nifty is trading 1.50 points higher. However, caution ahead of the Q4 earnings numbers due in the coming sessions may continue to weigh on local bourses and restrict gains in the markets. Indian shares fell to a three-week low on Thursday as investors took gains off the table, continuing to book profits in recent outperformers as the upcoming quarterly reporting season is expected to be weak. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 0.86%-0.89% lower each.

Global Markets:

a. Asian shares extended losses to three-week lows on Friday after bank shares slumped globally, while the yen soared to a 17-month high against the dollar as investors unwound bets against the yen, calculating that any effort by Japan to drive down the yen would be vigorously opposed by other major economies.

b. U.S. stocks tumbled Thursday amid what has been a choppy start to April after a strong run-up since the market low back in mid-February.

c. European equities ended lower on Thursday, with financial shares losing ground and stocks like Skanska and Daimler slumping after trading without the attraction of their latest dividend payouts..

Major Headlines of the day:

SBI, ICICI Bank cut home loan rates.

RCom to migrate CDMA users to Jio's 4G network.

ITC renews 40-year partnership with Starwood Hotels

Trend in FII flows:   The FIIs were net  sellers of  Rs -294.72 Cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net buyers of  Rs 16.06 Cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-07 APRIL 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS may see a lower opening; RBI Policy eyed 

Indian equity benchmarks are likely to open on a soft note on Thursday as traders stick to a cautious approach ahead of the March quarter earnings numbers in the coming sessions. SGX Nifty is trading 11.50 points lower. Indian shares ended slightly higher on Wednesday, rebounding from their worst fall in nearly two months in the previous session, but broader sentiment remained cautious as companies gear up to report their quarterly earnings. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 0.07%-0. 15% higher each

Global Markets:

a. Asian share markets edged ahead on Thursday after a sharp rise in oil prices whetted risk appetites and boosted Wall Street, with even Japanese stocks regaining a little ground despite a rising yen.

b. US stocks closed with solid gains Wednesday, boosted by soaring oil prices, while minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting signaled reluctance to raise rates as early as this month.

c. European shares rose on Wednesday after steep declines in the previous session, with the retail sector boosted by a smaller-than-expected fall in profits at Hennes & Mauritz.

Major Headlines of the day:

Tata Motors to resize diesel engines to skirt New Delhi ban.

PNB Housing raises Rs500 cr from IFC to finance Green Projects.

GVK fails to pay $560 million for mines in Australia.

Tata Steel to launch UK sale process by Monday - UK minister

Trend in FII flows:   The FIIs were net  sellers of  Rs -493.56 Cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net buyers of  Rs 258.68 Cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-05 APRIL 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS may see a lower opening; RBI Policy eyed 

Indian shares poised to open loweras traders resort to a cautious approach ahead of the much anticipated Reserve Bank of India (RBI) monetary policy review while a bearish trend across markets in Asia amid falling oil prices may also sour risk taking appetite. SGX Nifty is trading 61 points lower. Rate sensitive sectors including auto and banking will be in focus today. Indian shares rose on Monday, tracking gains in Asian equities following an upbeat US jobs report, but caution prevailed a day before the Reserve Bank of India's policy meeting at which it is expected to cut interest rates by at least 25 basis points. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 0.51%-0.59% higher each. On Monday (April 05, 2016), the BSE SENSEX closed at 25399.65, up by 130.01 points, or by 0.51%, and the NSE Nifty ended at 7758.80, gained by 45.75 points, or by 45.75%.

Global Markets:

• Asian shares and other riskier assets skidded on Tuesday, pressured by slumping crude oil prices and mixed messages from Federal Reserve policymakers on the outlook for U.S. interest rate rises.

• US stocks slumped on Monday as losses for industrials and materials offset sharp gains in health-care shares.

• European shares bounced back from one-month lows on Monday, led higher by gains in defensive stocks, but telecoms fell after talks between Orange and Bouygues on creating a dominant French operator collapsed.

Major Headlines of the day:

Cox & Kings sells majority stake in UK portals.

Adani mulls takeover of SunEdison's India assets.

ICICI Bank tweaks corporate lending norms to trim NPAs.

Trend in FII flows:   The FIIs were net  sellers of  Rs -236.82 Cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net buyers of  Rs -333.74 Cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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NIFTY FUTURES & BANK NIFTY FUTURES OVERVIEW-04 APRIL 2016

CS NIFTY FUTURES (APRIL) OVERVIEW

TREND MIXED TO BULLISH

 RES2: 7825

                                       RES 1:7782                                       SUP1:7702

SUP2: 7670

CS BANK NIFTY FUTURES (APRIL) OVERVIEW

TREND MIXED TO BULLISH

RES 2: 16415

RES 1: 16345

SUP1: 16050

SUP2: 15925

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-04 APRIL 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS 

Indian shares are poised to witness a gap up opening on Monday amid optimism among traders ahead of tomorrow’s much anticipated policy decision from the Reserve Bank 

of India ( RBI) which is expected to cut interest rates. SGX Nifty is trading 24.50 points higher. Investors will also focus on the March Manufacturing PMI set for 

release today and the Services PMI later this week, which will offer further cues over the health of the Indian economy. Indian shares fell on Friday, posting their 

first weekly loss in five, as investors braced for yet another weak quarter of earnings and after a torrid session in Asia following tepid Japan business sentiment 

data. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 0.28%-0.33% lower each.                                                                      

Global Markets:

• Asian share prices held firm on Monday after solid U.S. payroll data underpinned investor risk sentiment while dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen the previous week kept the U.S. dollar in check.

• US stocks ended higher Friday as investors bet that a spate of strong economic data, including the March jobs report, won’t speed up the pace of interest-rate increases by the Federal Reserve.

• European equities tumbled to a one-month low on the first trading day of the quarter on Friday, with energy stocks hit by weaker oil prices while Osram retreated after it was dropped from Apple's top supplier list.

Major Headlines of the day:

• Bajaj Auto to ready a Royal Enfield rival.

• Adani wins nod for Australian coal project.

• India Ratings downgrades Renuka Sugar

Trend in FII flows:   The FIIs were net  sellers of  Rs -214.01 Cr in the cash segment on Friday while the DIIs were net buyers of  Rs -519.91 Cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-31 MARCH 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS 

Indian markets are likely to open little changed on Thursday amidst a mixed trend across stocks in Asia and ahead of the March derivative expiry, sapping risk taking appetite. SGX Nifty is trading 12.50 points lower. Indian markets rose today and posted their biggest single-day percentage rise in about a month, tracking gains throughout Asia after US Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen called for caution when raising interest rates. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 1.76%-1.82% higher each.On Wednesday (March 30, 2016), Snapping two-day losing streak, the BSE SENSEX closed at 25338.58, up by 438.12 points, or by 1.76%, and the NSE Nifty ended at 7735.2, up by 138.2 points, or by 1.82%.

                                                                      

Global Markets:

Asian shares edged up to a four-month high on Thursday, taking cues from Wall Street gains overnight, as receding worries of near-term U.S. interest rate hikes continued to buoy risk sentiment.

U.S. stocks closed up for a third session in a row Wednesday following dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen, helping the Dow Jones Industrial Average set a record for the most up days in a month in six years.

European shares rose on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen called for caution in raising U.S. interest rates, while German retailer Metro surged on demerger plans.

Major Headlines of the day:

• Reliance Capital completes 23% stake sale in life insurance venture

• Adani Group enters defence sector with statement of intent

• Kansai Nerolac sells Chennai land to SPV floated by Brigade & GIC Singapore

Trend in FII flows:   The FIIs were net  sellers of  Rs -1442.47 Cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net buyers of  Rs 396.90 Cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-30 MARCH 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS are likely to open on a positive note as the global cues look supportive with SGX Nifty trading 54 points higher.

                                                                      

Global Markets:

Most Asian stocks rose after Fed Chair Janet Yellen called for a slower pace of US interest rate tightening as she stressed that the rate of inflation in the US hasn’t yet proven to be sustainable in the wake of rising global risks that could slow growth in the American economy.

China’s Shanghai Composite soared by more than 1.5 per cent led by a rise in financial and commodity shares, Hang Seng jumped over 1.6 per cent while Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell as a stronger yen eroded the lure for exporter stocks.

Yellen’s signal over a cautious approach to raising borrowing costs lifted US stocks on Tuesday while sentiment was also boosted after a gauge measuring US consumer confidence climbed to 96.2 in March from 94 in February.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.56 per cent; the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.67 per cent while S&P 500 rose 0.88 per cent.

Major Headlines of the day:

• Sun Pharma to acquire 14 brands from Novartis 

• Tata Steel: Board open to selling off UK biz

• BEL, Thales to develop PHAROS fire control radar

Trend in FII flows:   The FIIs were net  sellers of  Rs -513.45 Cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net buyers of  Rs 556.69 Cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

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