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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-13 MAY 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Gap down opening likely for D-Street

The Indian equity benchmarks are poised to open on a bearish note on Friday with traders likely to react negatively to dismal factory data showing a loss of momentum for Asia’s third biggest economy. SGX Nifty is trading 49.00 points down.

Industrial output ( IIP) in India fell by 0.1% in March 2016 from the same month a year ago while consumer inflation jumped to 5.4% in April 2016 from 4.83 per cent in March 2016.

Investors will eye the March quarter earnings numbers from Bank of Baroda, Cadilla Healthcare, Central Bank of India, Dena Bank, UCO Bank and Union Bank to be released

today. Continued jitters over the impact of the India-Mauritius treaty that imposes a capital gains tax on investments coming from Mauritius may also weigh on sentiment.

Indian shares closed higher on Thursday, led by lenders such as ICICI Bank, after the country's upper house of parliament passed a new bankruptcy code to address corporate debts and improve the ease of doing business. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty gained 0.75%-0.66% each today.

Global Markets:

Asian shares got off on the back foot on Friday, while the yen nursed losses as traders wagered the Bank of Japan will add to its massive stimulus before too long.

The Dow barely eked out a gain on Thursday as a slump in technology shares, highlighted by a steep slide in Apple, pressured the market, dragging the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite lower.

European stocks fell on Thursday after a choppy session, weighed down by some disappointing earnings updates, while Bayer and BASF dropped on reports they could be interested in buying Monsanto.

Major Headlines of the day:

Bharti Airtel sets a benchmark of 1.5% for call drops for itself.

Nestle struggles to get out of the woods.

TVS Srichakra plans Rs160 crore capex.

Vu Tech to enter more cities, eyes Rs500 cr sales in FY17

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs -24.14 Cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs 258.35 Cr, as per the provisional figures

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-12 MAY 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Markets may open in red following weak global cues.

The key Indian equity benchmarks are likely to witness a gap down opening as foreign investors remain jittery amidst the amended India-Mauritius tax treaty that imposes capital gains tax on investments coming from Mauritius.SGX Nifty is trading 6.50 points lower.

Shares of Glenmark and Nestle India will be in focus as they unveil their March quarter earnings today.

All eyes will be on the March industrial output and April consumer inflation data to be released today.

Indian shares fell on Wednesday, snapping two straight sessions of gains, on concerns the government may amend tax treaties with countries including Singapore after it agreed to tax capital gains on foreign investments from Mauritius. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty fell 0.68%-0.49% each today.

Global Markets:

Asian shares fell on Thursday following a dismal day on Wall Street, while crude oil futures gave back some of their overnight gains after jumping on an unexpected fall in U.S. crude inventories.

U.S. stocks closed lower Wednesday, under pressure from disappointing Disney and Macy's earnings, amid sharp gains in oil following a surprise inventory draw.

European shares slipped on Wednesday as some weak earnings reports pushed the market lower after two days of gains.

Major Headlines of the day:

Sanofi recalls batches of Combiflam after regulator alert.

Adani Power raises Rs 330 crore through NCDs.

Hero enters motorcycle racing in tie-up with German specialist.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs -362.19 Cr in the cash segment on Wednesday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs 729.59 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-11 MAY 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Bearish opening on Dalal Street

The key Indian equity benchmarks are poised to witness a negative opening on Wednesday as the government late Tuesday announced that starting next year, a capital gains tax on investments coming from Mauritius will be imposed as it seeks to curb black money. SGX Nifty is trading 124 points lower.

Focus will be on Kotak Mahindra Bank, Havells India, Apollo Tyres and Asian Paints as they unveil their March quarter earnings today. Caution ahead of key macro data to be released on Thursday including March industrial output and April consumer inflation

Indian shares bounced back from earlier losses to close higher on Tuesday, posting their second consecutive session of gains, as a rebound in crude oil prices and global stocks continued to favour riskier assets. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 0.33%-0.28% higher each.

Global Markets:

Asian stocks pulled away from eight-week lows on Wednesday, a day after solid corporate earnings sparked a rally in global equities while the yen struggled amid intervention warnings from Tokyo in the wake of the currency's rapid rise.

A surge in US stocks overnight after a rise in US job openings to the second highest level on record in March signaled a strengthening labour market recovery in the world’s biggest economy.

European shares rose on Tuesday, lifted by news of progress on Greek debt talks, with Danish jeweller Pandora surging after strong results and Credit Suisse gaining after a smaller-than-expected loss.

Major Headlines of the day:

Tata Steel gets SEZ status for Gopalpur project.

EID Parry Q4 net up 59% at Rs267 cr.

JSW enters race for Tata Steel's UK business.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs -328.59 Cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs 68.20 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-10 MAY 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Markets may open lower amid mixed Asia trend

The key domestic benchmarks are likely to witness a gap down opening on Tuesday as investors resort to profit booking after a stellar rally in the previous session while a mixed trend in stock markets across Asia amid weakness in commodity prices may also sour the appetite for risky assets. SGX Nifty is trading 33.50 points lower.

The focus today will be on the stock of Punjab & Sind Bank as the public sector lender unveils its March quarter earnings numbers, with investors keenly eying the Gross and Net NPA levels.

Caution ahead of key macro data to be released on Thursday including March industrial output and April consumer inflation may also weigh on sentiment.

Indian shares rose by 2%, posting their biggest single-day percentage gain in nearly four weeks, as a recent string of positive corporate results raised tentative hopes about an improving domestic economy. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 1.82%-1.71% higher each.

Global Markets:

Asian shares got off to a weak start on Tuesday, pressured by weaker crude oil prices, though Japanese shares got a tailwind as the dollar stood tall against the yen.

US stocks ended mixed on Monday as traders weighed dismal China trade data, tumbling oil prices and prospects for increases in US interest rates but sentiment was supported by a rally in health care and consumer stocks

European stock markets gained on Monday, but closed off their best levels after oil prices turned negative.

Major Headlines of the day:

Tata Steel takes seven potential bids for UK assets to next stage of sale process

Sun Pharma launches app for asthma patients

ONGC crude oil output up in FY16

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs -224.40 Cr in the cash segment on Monday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs 350.60 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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Sensex zooms over 300 pts, Nifty eyes 7850

The market has extended its rally with the Nifty comfortable above 7800. The 50-share is up 96.50 points or 1.2 percent at 7829.95. The Sensex is up 324.89 points or 1.3 percent at 25553.39. About 1343 shares have advanced, 498 shares declined, and 74 shares are unchanged.

NTPC, Bajaj Auto, HDFC twins and ITC are top gainers in the Sensex. Thyrocare Technologies debuted at Rs 665 per share on the NSE, 49 percent premium to its issue price at Rs 446.

The initial public offering (IPO) of Thyrocare was oversubscribed 73.55 times in a price band of Rs 420-446. The issue was open for bidding from April 27-29.

Thyrocare competes with diagnostics chains such as Dr Lal PathLabs, SRL Diagnostics, Metropolis Healthcare and Apollo Clinic.

Spot gold edged lower, but remained supported in the face of a firm dollar as investors bet a weaker US payroll report would push out the timing of any rate hike.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-05 MAY 2016

INDIAN BENCHMARKS Bulls may open doors on Main Street today

Indian shares are likely to open on a slightly higher note as the global cues look mixed with SGX Nifty trading 8.50 points higher.

Indian Indices:

The key Indian equity benchmarks are likely to open on a flattish note on Thursday as a bearish trend in stock markets across Asia and a negative finish at Wall Street overnight amidst heightened worries over the health of the world economy, keep Dalal Street traders on the sidelines.

The CNX Nifty Index Futures for May delivery was trading little changed, up by 0.08 per cent or 6 points at 7,730 at 10:29 AM Singapore time, also signaling that Indian stocks may open on a flat note, with a positive bias today.

The 30-share Sensex on Wednesday hit a fresh three-week low with foreign investors trimming their holdings of Indian stocks as concerns over a faltering global economic recovery and renewed prospects of a US interest rate hike in the near-term soured the appetite for risky assets.

Marking a third straight day in the red, the Sensex slid by 127.97 points or by 0.51 per cent to end at 25,101.73 with shares of Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone tanking almost 12 per cent, the biggest slide since October 2008 after Citigroup Inc lowered the stock to neutral amid an increase in debt levels.

Global Markets:

On the Asia front, China’s Shanghai Composite was trading tad lower while Hang Seng declined as traders continued to fret over global economic growth outlook amidst a mixed batch of US economic data.

The private sector of the world’s biggest economy added fewer workers in April but services growth accelerated to a four-month high and March factory orders rebounded.

China’s service gauge fell to 51.8 in April from 52.2 in March, signaling a slowdown in the sector, adding to concerns over the world’s second biggest economy.

Japanese markets remained shut due to a trading holiday.

Overnight, US stocks fell with benchmark S&P 500 languishing at a three-week low after a report showed that US private employers added 156,000 workers this month, against 194,000 in March.

European stocks fell on Wednesday, with Dialog Semiconductor slumping after it cut its revenue outlook and BHP Billiton hit by news of a lawsuit filed against it in Brazil.

Major Headlines of the day:

V-Guard Q4FY2016 beats estimate on all fronts

Ricoh India receives 21-day deadline from BSE to comply with SEBI norms

Indo Count to consider fund raising for second leg of expansion

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net sellers of Rs -66.45 Cr in the cash segment on Tuesday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs 78.80 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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